01.06.2025
The Digital Upheaval
How Trump Uses USD1 to Reshape the Global Financial
Part II
Klaudia Grote
The Digital Upheaval
How Trump Uses USD1 to Reshape the Global Financial
Part II
Klaudia Grote
Author’s Note - Between Foresight and Fear
This essay moves in the realm of speculation, yet it is grounded in developments I already outlined earlier this year. What was still faintly visible in May and June has since begun to enter the public consciousness. In early September, Anton Kobyakov, an influential adviser to President Putin, warned that the United States might deliberately deploy stablecoins to devalue its enormous 37 trillion-dollar debt. It is precisely this scenario that I had cautioned against in my May essay “The Civilizational Tipping Point: From the Nixon Shock to the Trump Shock” and again in June in “The Digital Upheaval: Part I.” Given its continuing relevance, I will examine this topic in greater depth in this third part.
Many of the preparations required for such a Trump Shock are already well advanced. The purpose of this essay is to draw attention to the subtle signs that remain largely unnoticed yet are now emerging ever more clearly and may soon manifest openly. There may still be little time to prepare, though I do not know how much.
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It is therefore a work of speculation, but not of fiction. What follows traces the possible consequences of political and technological decisions already visible in outline, an attempt to project these tendencies into a coherent future, not because such a future is inevitable, but because ignoring its probability would be an act of negligence.
I write this out of a sense of fear. If America falls, Europe might follow.
If a government were to sell its technological secrets, its chips, and its access to artificial intelligence to autocratic powers for private gain, such an act would constitute a betrayal of the American people and of the world that still depends on America’s integrity.
To turn knowledge into currency and power into property is not a Genius Act. It is a primitive criminal act, a regression into the law of the strong, the oldest and most cruel of orders. If the American republic tolerates such conduct, the betrayal will not end at its borders. It will radiate outward, corroding alliances, eroding trust, and teaching the world that democracy is no longer an ethic but a brand.
What is stolen in such a moment is not money; it is humanity. And humanity, once lost, is hard to restore within people. When a society begins to celebrate inhumanity, it does not destroy others first, it erases the inner self until compassion, empathy, and love fall silent.
I would also urge everyone to abandon the comforting illusion that President Trump will soon be voted out, or that he will disappear from power by other means.
The tactics he has used so far are working. He excels at the role of the showman, he knows what people long for, and he promises it to them. In this way he holds them like a puppeteer and pulls the strings. Two days ago, some seven million Americans took to the streets to protest against him, a development that has been praised loudly in the media. Yet seven million out of roughly 195 million eligible participants amounts to only about 4.6 percent, and that will not be enough. I expect that the administration will increasingly provoke and implement violence and then act brutally against its perceived enemies from within. Anyone who hopes that popular protest alone will remove this threat should change their strategy.
We must instead seek different and more effective ways to prevent the government and its technological allies from seizing full control. Although I believe this regime will not endure forever, every additional year it remains in power will bring more damage.
I am not a financial expert but a psychologist. To understand the actions of Trump and of some of his collaborators, one must be familiar with malignant narcissism, with psychopathy, and with patriarchal structures that often but not always act together. If he gains the power I describe here, he will use it. For sure.
It is now up to us whether we try to stop him or whether we ignore the danger. Many Americans will find the promise that USD1 could erase the national debt seductive, as they imagine personal gain when Trump promises that the value of the stablecoin rises. That promise is an illusion. In everything he touches the facade looks handsome, but behind it everything collapses. He will betray and steal from the people. The consequences for American identity, for the United States financial system, and for Americans themselves would be devastating.
Trump follows a single pattern. He promises much and keeps nothing. He does not act for others; he uses others as resources to gain more money and more power. What his father taught him from childhood was simple: money is everything and it is clever to take advantage of others and force them to accept the deal you offer. For Trump that is the measure of success, and he has so far always gotten away with it. Those who deal with this inhuman person suffer. Some are destroyed.
Act 0 - What Has Already Been Built
By the end of September 2025, the transformation of the American financial state was no longer a projection of the future but had become an almost accomplished concept. What appeared to the public as a series of technical improvements, digital modernization, efficiency, and fraud prevention was, in truth, the construction of a new monetary order. Within less than a year, the Trump administration and its private allies had laid the foundation for a dual financial system: one public in appearance, the other privately controlled yet anchored in the state’s central infrastructure.
At the core of this transformation stands the United States Treasury and the World Liberty Financial (WLF). The US Treasury, once merely the custodian of public funds, will now become the operational heart of a digitalized state. Around it orbits a new financial instrument of the WLF, the privately issued stablecoin USD1. It was designed and controlled by the Trump family and their long-time associates, the Witkoffs. Together, these two pillars, the institutional reform and the private currency, complete one another. Policy grants legitimacy; technology secures control.
The legal turning point for USD1 came with the passage of the Genius Act in March 2025. Officially described as a modernization initiative for “digital state innovation,” the law quietly shifted regulatory authority over stablecoins and digital currencies from the semi-independent Federal Reserve to the Treasury. The change placed the entire field of digital money under direct executive supervision.
For the first time in U.S. history, a sitting president held the power to decide which private entities could issue dollar-denominated digital money and on what terms. What had once been an independent sphere of monetary policy had become a domain of presidential discretion.
Two executive orders followed, putting the new authority into motion. Executive Order 14247 mandated that by September 30, 2025, all federal disbursements and receipts must be conducted electronically. Paper checks, physical lockboxes, and postal payment channels were declared obsolete. Executive Order 14249 consolidated oversight of payments, verification, and fraud prevention within the Treasury, effectively centralizing every flow of government money. From that moment on, each Social Security check, tax refund, or procurement payment passed through systems controlled by the president’s appointees. Beneath the promise of efficiency, the machinery of monetary control was already moving.
The official justification came shortly after, when the White House released a document titled President Donald J. Trump Modernizes Payments to and from America’s Bank Account. It described the new orders as a patriotic reform to phase out “old-fashioned” paper payments and protect taxpayers from waste and fraud. The fact sheet boasted that checks were sixteen times more likely to be lost, stolen, or altered than electronic transfers and that maintaining the physical infrastructure for paper payments had cost the nation more than six hundred million Dollars the previous year. Digital transfers, it said, were faster, safer, and cheaper. The statement added a single sentence meant to calm critics: “This Executive Order does not establish a Central Bank Digital Currency.”
That reassurance was technically true but strategically misleading. By routing every federal payment through electronic systems now fully supervised by the Treasury, the administration had created the legal and technical foundation for executive-controlled financial architecture. What looked like an administrative reform was in fact the beginning of a new form of monetary governance: a state whose fiscal operations were digitally centralized and politically dependent.
While the bureaucracy was being re-engineered, the president’s private network was constructing the instrument that would link political authority to personal profit.
Through World Liberty Financial (WLF), the administration’s inner circle launched a Dollar-pegged stablecoin marketed as a “people’s currency.” By mid-September 2025, USD1 had been listed on Binance, tagged as a Seed Project, and integrated into the Solana blockchain, allowing it to circulate globally on one of the world’s fastest digital networks.
Within ninety days, its market capitalization exceeded 2.2 billion Dollars, fueled by a two-billion-Dollar investment from an Abu Dhabi fund later linked to Chinese capital. In return, the administration quietly granted the United Arab Emirates access to hundreds of thousands of the world’s most advanced computer chips, the silicon core of the race for artificial intelligence. Most were destined for G42, the technology conglomerate controlled by Sheikh Tahnoon of Abu Dhabi. Despite warnings from U.S. security officials that the hardware could be shared with China, the deal went ahead, sealed under the same web of favors that financed USD1.
According to an investigation by the Financial Times, Trump’s crypto ventures had already generated profits exceeding one billion Dollars by the end of September 2025.
About half a billion came from World Liberty Financial alone. The reserves that back USD1 consist of short-term U.S. Treasuries, meaning that the president’s family now earns private interest income on public debt. What the Federal Reserve once returned to the Treasury as national revenue now flows into private accounts tied to the presidency.
Two additional laws now stand ready to consolidate this system. The Digital Asset Market Clarity Act, known as the Clarity Act, has already passed the House and awaits Senate approval. It would transfer oversight of the cryptocurrency markets from the Securities and Exchange Commission, known for its strict investor protections, to the Commodity Futures Trading Commission, a far more permissive regulator. By reclassifying digital assets as commodities rather than securities, the act would remove disclosure requirements and limit accountability. Combined with the Genius Act, it would create a deregulated environment in which favored issuers, such as World Liberty Financial, could operate with almost no scrutiny.
The second bill, the Anti-CBDC Surveillance State Act, would prohibit the Federal Reserve from issuing its own digital currency. Officially justified as a defense of privacy against government overreach, the act’s real effect would be to block any public competitor to private stablecoins like USD1. If it passes, the United States will have no state-backed digital dollar at all, only privately issued ones licensed by the Treasury and controlled by the Executive Branch This would be a striking retreat at a time when almost every other nation is building a sovereign digital currency.
Figure 1: Three laws poised to reshape global monetary order
One bill has become law. Two are still on their way. If they pass, the last walls between public authority and private control will fall. Together, these three new laws on digital affairs would complete what the administration began: the quiet creation of a monetized presidency. A new monarchy, with a king at its center, and the U.S. Treasury will be his Schatzschatulle.
The Treasury would license the money; the CFTC would decline to regulate it; the Federal Reserve would be legally sidelined. Once the final votes are cast, the United States will no longer separate the governance of its currency from the interests of its ruler. The system is already functioning. The infrastructure has been built, the legal foundation established, and USD1 is now trading globally while the remaining legislation moves steadily through the Senate. When those last pieces fall into place, the world’s reserve currency will no longer be managed by an independent institution. The Federal Reserve, once a symbol of balance and restraint, will have fallen.
Looking into my Palantír, I can already see that they are on their way to let it happen. It must be stopped by law, by transparency, and by public accountability before governance itself collapses into ownership. If we do not act now, it will be too late to reclaim what has been lost.
Act I - The Psychological Manipulation Phase
Every change in power begins with a narrative people can believe. Without a story, authority stands naked, and it is often ugly. What began in 2025 as bureaucratic modernization now unfolds as the theater of manipulation.
Trump has always known that illusion and narrative are stronger than pressure and punishment through law. His empire was never built on competence but on choreography. He governs as he once performed in The Apprentice: by directing attention where it serves him most, by flooding every visible space with fragmented, useless information until people no longer know where to look.
The stage is the nation, and the audience is always on the edge of exhaustion. He understands that distraction is not the absence of control; it is its most perfect form, because he always holds the people’s attention and can do with it whatever he desires, turning them left or right, up or down, as he needs and likes. The people are marionettes; the strings are the media, and Trump holds them all in his hands, orchestrating them with calculated promises and threats. The famous Zuckerbrot und Peitsche principle.
Although he promised to end the war in Ukraine within twenty-four hours, the promise itself became the performance. Ceasefires were declared, revoked, and declared again. In Gaza, he pressured Netanyahu and announced that the war was over, as if words alone could alter reality. It was theatre dressed as diplomacy, an echo of his desire for recognition, perhaps even a prize. But nothing had substance; nothing endured. Everything was just a stage performance, and the world kept watching where he wants them to watch.
But behind the scenes, the outlines of Trump’s next move had already begun to take shape. It likely started with the Bitcoin reserves held by the U.S. government , assets seized from criminal networks and stored under the Strategic Bitcoin Reserve. Although federal law explicitly forbids the sale of Bitcoin held in this reserve, he would almost certainly frame such a move as a national emergency. He would argue that assets seized from criminals do not constitute public funds and are therefore not subject to congressional appropriations or the restrictions of a shutdown. In his narrative, what the law prohibits becomes a patriotic exception.
It probably all happened quietly, beneath the noise of the budget crisis and the fragile ceasefire in Gaza. By October 7, 2025 - the day Bitcoin reached its all-time high - the first transfers might have begun. Three days later, on October 10, the market collapsed, in what would be remembered as one of the most violent days in the history of cryptocurrency. Bitcoin plunged below the $100,000 mark, triggering the largest liquidation cascade ever recorded. Billions evaporated within hours, while a single anonymous wallet made $200 million in profit. The crash was no accident; it was an opening gambit.
The proceeds of these covert sales might be used by the president to purchase U.S. Treasuries, the very bonds that now serve as collateral for USD1, the stablecoin owned by his family through World Liberty Financial. In doing so, the president will have converted confiscated digital assets into an engine for private wealth. What the nation once held as public reserve will be transformed into liquidity that underwrites its personal currency.
The cycle completes itself with mathematical precision. By provoking trade wars and tariffs, Trump drives down confidence in the Dollar and pushes investors into Bitcoin. As prices rise, he sells the government’s holdings at their peak, only to reinvest the gains in Treasuries that now back USD1. When panic subsides and the Dollar recovers, those older, high-yield bonds begin to pay out. Whether the market rises or falls, the architecture enriches him.
He will justify all of it with theatre. The shutdown, he will say, left the nation defenseless. The “radical left” threatens the streets. The troops must be paid; the patriots must be protected. Then, he will declare that, through the power of his office, he has ensured that soldiers will receive their pay despite congressional obstruction, and those payments will not be made in Dollars, but in USD1.
Thus, he becomes both savior and sovereign: the man who pays the army when the state cannot. And with that act, loyalty will no longer be pledged to a constitution, but to a wallet.
Violence will follow, as it always does when chaos becomes a tool. Next time, the demonstrations now forming the so-called No Kings Marches will be infiltrated, steered toward confrontation. Hired agitators will ignite the fires that justify repression. The footage will loop for days: broken windows, flags burning, chaos in the streets. And when the president calls in the National Guard, the governors will appear weak, the opposition divided, the public relieved.
What will seem like a restoration of order will, in truth, be its erasure. The world will not notice the substitution, because attention will be elsewhere on the noise, the anger, the spectacle. While commentators argue over civil unrest, the new monetary regime will harden into permanence.
This is how the illusion works: every crisis hides a transfer; every performance hides a theft. The genius of the strategy lies in its rhythm: chaos followed by calm, fear followed by relief, until the mind, desperate for coherence, begins to mistake manipulation for meaning. In the end, the digital upheaval will not require censorship or coercion. It will require only exhaustion. A population too weary to question will accept whatever functions, and whatever functions will soon belong to him.
Politics has merged with illusion, and governance has become hypnosis. Once, the MAGA faithful chose The Red Pill, believing it would wake them to the truth. Instead, they swallowed a bitter reality packaged as illusion, a lie sold as awakening.
Act II - The Stealing Machine – How USD1 will Privatize Seigniorage
Trump’s digital empire is not an experiment in technology; it is a stealing machine, built to extract, conceal, and enrich. In the old world of paper money, this mechanism was called seigniorage, the profit a state earns from the act of issuing its own currency. In the new world of code, the principle remains, but the benefits have changed. Where once the profit returned to the public, it now flows upward, to the private hands that command the mint.
The logic of USD1 is seductively simple. For every digital Dollar in circulation, an equal amount of U.S. Treasuries or cash-equivalent assets is held in reserve. Those reserves generate interest, paid by the government to whoever holds its debt. Banks, funds, investors, and, in part, the Federal Reserve. Under the traditional system, the Fed’s share of this income was eventually remitted to the U.S. Treasury as a public dividend for public debt.
Under the USD1 structure, the current reverses. The same interest that once nourished the state now feeds the private balance sheets of World Liberty Financial and the dynasty behind it. Each token becomes a small act of appropriation, a quiet transfer of national wealth into the orbit of a single family.
At scale, the effect is staggering. Even if only a fraction of the nation’s transactions move into USD1, tens of billions of Dollars in annual interest on government debt will no longer serve the public but flow into private hands. It is the digitized equivalent of minting one’s own Treasury, a silent heist disguised as innovation. And because stablecoins expand automatically with demand, the mechanism feeds on crisis. The worse the economy performs, the higher the interest rates of Treasury Bonds rise, and the richer the machine becomes.
It is an architecture built not to stabilize the nation but to harvest its instability. This inversion of incentives is not a flaw; it is the purpose. The USD1 ecosystem thrives on volatility. To profit, its architects need high-yield Treasuries, and to keep yields high, confidence must be shaken. A tariff here, a diplomatic rupture there: every shock drives interest rates upward. Then confidence falters, capital seeks refuge in “stable” assets, and every such movement strengthens the machine that caused the fear. Recession becomes yield, panic becomes opportunity, and chaos itself turns into profit.
What makes this system monstrous is not its elegance but its ownership. World Liberty Financial is no neutral fintech company; it is a political enterprise embedded within the presidency, run by men whose proximity to power shields them from consequence. Around this core stretches a network of financiers and advisers - figures like Trump, Kushner, and Witkoff - forming a closed circuit where state authority feeds private extraction. Through USD1, seigniorage - once the instrument of sovereign finance - has been transformed into a personal revenue model: the private right to collect interest on the nation’s debt. Control over issuance, custody, and settlement is no longer policy but possession. To command USD1 is to control the rhythm of payment itself, the heartbeat of commerce, the pulse of compliance. It is not merely influence over the economy; it is ownership of its bloodstream.
Seen through the Palantír, the bright surface of innovation fades, and beneath it appears the darker structure of greed. Behind the sleek language of progress lies a primitive, enduring instinct to turn creation into revenue and power into wealth.
What Trump intends is NO ACT OF GENIUS. It is a grotesque sleight of hand - a “Taschenspielertrick,” that exposes him as a man without conscience, feeding on everyone around him. He is a figure straight out of The Lord of the Rings, and he resembles GOLLUM. Trump was once a vulnerable child, gradually deformed by the corrupting influence of his father. Over the years, his narcissistic mind twisted and split into two personas: Donald, who endlessly pities himself, and Trump, who robs, deceives, and betrays. Driven by greed and cruelty, every trace of humanity that once lived within him has been consumed by his obsession with money and power.
And now Trump might be on the way to creating his stealing machine. But he is not stealing any more money from other criminals or from another dealmaker. Now he is stealing from the entire world.
Figure 1: The Stealing Machine – How USD1 will Privatize Seigniorage
Act III - The Playbook – How Chaos Manufactures Consent
Trump’s strategy for consolidating monetary control follows a logic that merges spectacle, crisis, and profit. It rests on the same principle that governs markets: volatility creates value for those who know how to monetize it. The pattern is deliberate, with political distraction in the foreground and financial engineering in the background.
In early October 2025, Bitcoin reached a record high above $124,000. Days later, the administration announced new tariffs on China. Under ordinary circumstances, both Bitcoin and gold would have risen together. Instead, the cryptocurrency market collapsed. Within hours, tens of billions in paper wealth vanished in one of the largest liquidation cascades in financial history. Analysts would later call it Black Friday for Crypto.
Figure 3: Crypto Market Volatility
The timing was unlikely to be coincidence. Blockchain data show that several large wallets, long linked to U.S. government seizure addresses, began transferring enormous sums on the very day the announcement was made. By conservative estimates, over thirty billion dollars in Bitcoin were sold or moved between October 7 and 10, almost exactly the size of the U.S. government’s Strategic Bitcoin Reserve. What appeared to be panic looked, in retrospect, more like a state-managed liquidity operation: the conversion of confiscated assets into capital for USD1.
As Bitcoin was sold, USD1 was bought. Its market capitalization rose from $2.2 to $2.7 billion within days, while its daily trading volume spiked to more than $750 million on October 11. Other stablecoins stagnated. Liquidity withdrawn from one asset flowed directly into another, reinforcing the very system that had triggered the crash.
Figure 4: USD1 Market Capitalization Surge
Behind the scenes, World Liberty Financial used this inflow to purchase high-yield U.S. Treasuries, precisely as interest rates were climbing in response to Trump’s tariff threats. The president’s words drove yields up, allowing his private network to buy discounted bonds that would soon appreciate. When WLF secured these Treasuries, markets calmed, yields declined, and the dollar rose. Gold fell in turn as investors sought safety in the newly strengthened currency.
Figure 5: U.S. 10-Year Treasury Yield, September-October 2025.
Figure 6: U.S. Dollar to Euro Exchange Rate, October 2025.
The dollar strengthened to €0.86 on October 13, reflecting rising Treasury demand and capital rotation into executive-backed assets.
By mid-October, the Treasury might have begun quietly offloading portions of its gold reserves. The combination of a stronger dollar and increased supply sent gold into freefall on October 21. The sequence was too precise to be coincidence: Bitcoin fell, liquidity flooded into USD1, Treasuries were bought, the dollar climbed, gold collapsed, and each wave of volatility financed the next. What had once looked like chaos revealed itself as choreography, each crisis generating the liquidity required for the next profit cycle.
Figure 7: Gold price in Euros, October 2025.
After peaking at €3,772 on October 20, gold fell sharply as the dollar strengthened and U.S. Treasury sales increased supply.
The Bitcoin crash freed billions in liquidity, part of which reappeared almost instantly in the expanding market capitalization of USD1. While other stablecoins stagnated, USD1 surged from $2.2 to $2.7 billion-
Figure 8: USD1’s resilience during the October turbulence.
Other assets fell or fluctuated, but the state-aligned stablecoin remained stable, illustrating the convergence of market trust and political authority.
Psychology mattered as much as mechanics. The administration presented the turmoil as proof of Trump’s foresight, claiming that volatility itself justified the creation of a “safer, government-approved digital dollar.” The crisis validated the cure, and the cure reinforced control. Investors fleeing collapsing markets migrated to USD1, which now appeared patriotic and secure. What seemed like a financial disaster was, in practice, a marketing campaign executed through the balance sheet of the state.
On October 15, Trump signed an executive order directing the Pentagon to ensure that active-duty military personnel were paid despite the ongoing government shutdown. He instructed the defense secretary to use any remaining funds from prior appropriations to fulfill payroll obligations. When Congress objected, Trump declared that, if necessary, he would pay the troops himself, using USD1. The gesture turned a constitutional crisis into an act of personal magnanimity. What had begun as market manipulation evolved into a performance of sovereignty: when the state could no longer pay, the president would.
The pattern will be self-reinforcing. Even the suggestion that the United States might sell gold reserves to secure liquidity for the troops, will send tremors through global portfolios. For decades, gold had been the metaphysical guarantee of safety; to hint at its sale was to question the definition of value itself. For traders, the message was unmistakable: if even gold could be sacrificed, nothing was sacred. Panic, monetized without a single bar changing hands.
Figure 9: Trump’s Volatility Doctrine
Each act of improvisation reinforced the next. Economic disorder generated political control; political control produced new opportunities for extraction. The cycle became self-sustaining: chaos manufactured consent, privatization legitimized the theft, and the theft financed further chaos. The public saw turbulence. The architects saw revenue.
This is how the Stealing Machine stabilizes itself, by making crisis its operating system. Every collapse becomes proof of necessity, every emergency a reason for obedience. The infrastructure of control no longer relies on repression; it runs on exhaustion. In a nation too weary to question, liquidity becomes loyalty, and stability becomes the price of freedom.
The October crash marked more than a turning point for digital markets. It signaled the birth of a new monetary order, where the same techniques once used to manipulate attention in politics were applied to the balance sheet of the state. Volatility ceased to be a risk; it became a resource. From now on, the emergency would no longer be an exception, it would be the rule. What Nixon once accomplished with a single televised decree, detaching the dollar from gold, Trump now rehearsed through code, regulation, and spectacle, detaching the dollar from discipline itself.
Act IV – The New Nixon Moment: Detaching the Dollar from USD1
When Nixon ended the dollar’s convertibility to gold in 1971, he severed money from matter and attached it instead to confidence. Half a century later, the dollar faces a new detachment, this time from institutional discipline itself. Trump’s administration does not abolish convertibility; it abolishes oversight. The currency of a republic becomes the instrument of its ruler.
In the emerging order, the U.S. Treasury replaces the Federal Reserve as the center of issuance, while private networks licensed by the executive function as intermediaries. Stablecoins such as USD1, nominally backed by government debt, circulate as quasi-official money. Because these tokens are privately administered, their liabilities never appear on the public balance sheet. Debt is no longer repaid; it is repackaged. The state borrows from itself through proxies it controls, while those proxies earn interest on the very obligations they underwrite. What once counted as fiscal imbalance becomes design. Inflation and volatility cease to be threats; they are inputs in a profit algorithm.
Everything in this architecture appears legal. Each transaction leaves a trace, each audit trail is complete, yet the sum of these lawful parts forms an extralegal whole. Governance hides behind compliance. The mint of the digital age is no longer an independent central bank bound by statute but a constellation of private issuers orbiting executive power. Economists may one day call this the digital Nixon shock: a shift from tangible to narrative backing, from the rule of law to the rule of access. The dollar endures, but its foundation moves from trust in institutions to trust in the person who commands them.
Contradiction itself becomes policy. The government can expand deficits while preaching restraint, inflate liquidity while denouncing inflation, enrich its allies while promising equality. What looks incoherent is deliberate rhythm: fear, relief, appreciation, collapse, each phase harvesting value from the previous one. Markets react as intended, mistaking orchestration for inevitability. Volatility becomes governance, profiting from the language of policy.
Abroad, the same logic unfolds diplomatically. The old Petro-dollar arrangement has expired; its digital successor is already being rehearsed. Across the Gulf and beyond, energy producers are quietly encouraged—sometimes persuaded—to denominate contracts in USD1 in exchange for what they desire most: access to technology, preferential trade, and the indulgence of Washington. Saudi Arabia, Qatar, and Abu Dhabi have signaled interest after receiving shipments of advanced computer chips and defense systems that had once been restricted. At the same time, pressure mounts on Venezuela to settle parts of its oil exports in the new currency, a move framed as economic rehabilitation but enforced through coercion. What was once the Petro-dollar thus becoming the petro-USD1, merging energy, liquidity, and allegiance into a single circuit. Stability is purchased through volatility, and sovereignty is traded for convenience.
For Europe and other trading partners, the consequences are immediate. Creditors may still hold U.S. debt, but settlement now occurs inside a payment infrastructure they do not control. Confidence erodes slowly, then abruptly, as the asymmetry between visibility and authority becomes undeniable. Central banks diversify into gold, regional currencies, and sovereign digital systems. The dollar remains dominant for a time, but hollow, a reserve of necessity rather than conviction.
Half a century after Nixon, the United States redefines sovereignty once again, this time as executive ownership of liquidity. Markets function, institutions perform, yet beneath the surface lies a system feeding on the very instability it claims to manage. Technology removes the friction that once separated governance from profit. The line between efficiency and autocracy narrows with every iteration of code.
When the final separation comes, it will not be announced as rupture but as reform. USD1 will be recognized as the primary medium for public payments, while the legacy dollar is left to float. Overnight, the nation’s debt, still denominated in the depreciating currency, shrinks in real value. Creditors protest, markets applaud, and loyalists holding USD1 wallets awakened enriched. The republic’s obligations are devalued; its allegiance repriced. Money has completed its transformation from public trust into private command. What was once citizenship has become a portfolio position.
Act V - After the Central Bank: Governance in a Post-Monetary State
In the aftermath of the separation, when money ceases to be the instrument of an independent central bank and becomes the property of an executive network, the grammar of sovereignty itself changes. The Federal Reserve, once the institutional heart of American finance, survives only as curator of a vanishing order, closing the books of the old dollar, managing residual assets, reconciling the final flows between agencies and creditors. Its open-market desk falls silent; its meetings turn ceremonial. What began as efficiency ended as an administrative funeral.
Power over liquidity now resides in the Treasury-industrial nexus, where fiscal command, payment infrastructure, and political discretion converge. The distance between issuer, regulator, and beneficiary collapses. Monetary circulation becomes a function of allegiance. What once was an impersonal medium of exchange turns into a credential of loyalty. The state does not guarantee money; it grants access to it.
Such a system cannot rest on institutions; it rests on personality. Stability depends on the continuity of one authority capable of imposing coherence on privatized architecture. The classical republic could absorb succession through law; a personalized monetary regime cannot. When the ruler disappears, the code fragments, rival operators claim legitimacy, and the unified token economy splinters into incompatible standards. The triumph of digital centralization becomes the seed of political disintegration.
Beyond America, the disappearance of a credible public dollar reshapes the world’s monetary topography. Capital migrates toward jurisdictions that still offer institutional guarantees. Former allies hedge against volatility by building parallel payment corridors, while multilateral institutions lose their coordinating role. The fragmentation of money mirrors the fragmentation of power. Only China appears to have a coherent plan for what comes next. Its proposal for a gold-backed yuan reflects a strategic attempt to redefine monetary credibility, linking value once again to tangible reserve assets. By anchoring trust in convertibility rather than in political discretion, Beijing seeks to elevate the international standing of its currency and positions itself as the architect of a new monetary order.
Nowhere is this transformation felt more acutely than in Europe. For decades, the continent has lived in the shadow of American stability, relying on the dollar’s liquidity and Washington’s security umbrella while cultivating a moral vocabulary of restraint. That equilibrium collapses once the dollar itself becomes an executive instrument.
Europe stands principled but unprepared, rich in ethics, poor in infrastructure.
The Euro was designed to coexist with the Dollar, sheltered by American credibility. The European Central Bank mastered the language of prudence and legality but not the technology of power. While Washington turns money into code, the ECB publishes consultation papers. Its digital-euro project advances at the speed of committee minutes. Inclusion and privacy are worthy goals, yet moral vocabulary does not secure market share. By the time Europe defines ethical finance, the rails of the next global system may already belong to someone else.
Brussels cites the Markets in Crypto-Assets Regulation as proof of leadership. The framework brings order to chaos, yet it governs form, not substance. It tells issuers how to behave but says nothing about who owns the infrastructure they use. Europe has built a cage for stablecoins but not the walls of its own monetary fortress. The result is a paradox: the world’s most elaborate regulatory regime coexists with its most passive strategic posture.
As the U.S. Treasury and its private satellites establish a de facto standard, European transactions settle under American jurisdiction. Jurisdiction itself becomes currency, and Europe spends its sovereignty at a discount.
Dependence will not arrive through coercion but through convenience. Banks, driven by efficiency, adopt the fastest rails; corporations follow to avoid friction; governments justify it as interoperability. Payments will function flawlessly but not freely. It is colonization by interface rather than occupation. Europe possesses every ingredient for autonomy, technical expertise, legal credibility, a monetary union, yet it lacks speed, unity, and the will to treat finance as strategy. Each nation debates privacy while the architecture of power migrates elsewhere. The ECB could still sponsor an open, publicly verifiable protocol anchored in democratic oversight, but that would require courage, and caution has become Europe’s brand.
Half a century ago, when Nixon detached the dollar from gold, Europe responded by aligning its currencies and deepening integration. In 2025, as America detaches the dollar from law, Europe hesitates between dependence and disbelief. The outcome is a subtler subordination: the euro survives in name yet clears through systems controlled abroad. Autonomy shrinks not by invasion but by update.
Unless Europe moves beyond regulation to construction, the vacuum it leaves will be filled by obedience. The digital world does not reward moral clarity; it rewards those who build the rails others must use. Already, the architecture of global finance is being laid in America’s image, by a government that has learned to privatize its own sovereignty. What begins as a national innovation ends as a planetary hierarchy, a world without central banks and without balance, where code replaces law and convenience replaces consent.
Act VI - The Reckoning and the Choice
By late 2025 the new architecture of money has reached maturity. The laws are in place, the rails of USD1 are active, and the Treasury functions as the central node of a privately leveraged state. The United States has not collapsed; it has stabilized around a new equilibrium in which efficiency replaces accountability and liquidity substitutes for trust.
The system thrives on volatility while pretending to eliminate it. Profits rise with crisis, legitimacy with calm, yet one cannot exist without the other. A republic that monetizes uncertainty eventually institutionalizes it. Public finance now operates on two ledgers: one visible and constitutional, recording taxes, expenditures, and debt; the other hidden in private networks, capturing the flow of collateralized profit. Each feeds the other until governance becomes arbitrage and the state finances itself by selling fragments of its own credibility. Two paths lie ahead.
In the first, Americans adapt. The payment systems work, salaries arrive, inflation appears tamed, and markets rally. Life feels normal again. Oversight fades quietly into the background. Elections continue, but policy originates in code and contract. Citizens trade political agency for transactional reliability. What they lose in freedom they gain in convenience. For a time, this digital calm passes for progress. Yet when the figure who personifies it disappears, the structure reveals its vacancy. Without a central persona to guarantee order, competing networks claim succession. Financial fragmentation mirrors political disarray. The nation remains geographically whole but institutionally hollow, a machine still running after it has forgotten why.
The second path is resistance. Segments of civil society, state governments, and parts of the military refuse to integrate into the privatized regime. Boycotts evolve into digital blockades; rival clearing systems emerge at regional levels. The conflict unfolds not through violence but through infrastructure, code against code, ledger against ledger. Markets respond with confusion and then with flight. The dollar’s reserve status erodes as investors can no longer distinguish between sovereign and private liabilities. Confidence, the only true collateral of the modern economy, evaporates. The guarantor of liquidity becomes its source of contagion.
Abroad, the shock spreads instantly. Europe, still tethered to dollar infrastructure, experiences the tremor first. Exchange volatility widens, capital drains into commodities and regional digital currencies, and the euro loses coherence as a reserve. China and the BRICS alliance seize the moment to promote alternative settlement systems. The world fractures into monetary blocs: the U.S.-led private-dollar sphere, a Sino-centric digital-yuan system, and smaller coalitions orbiting either pole. Globalization does not end, but it desynchronizes. Growth continues, yet coordination fades. Interdependence gives way to interoperable distrust.
Whether through submission or resistance, the outcome converges: fragmentation. Systems that privatize sovereignty cannot sustain solidarity. The logic of markets cannot replace the logic of the republic. When citizens experience their government as a service provider and their currency as a subscription, the social contract dissolves. Democracies survive by distributing power; digital autocracies concentrate it by design. When innovation becomes the language of extraction and transparency becomes a user interface rather than a principle, disorder is not a failure of governance, it is the business model.
Yet the reckoning need not end in ruin. The same instruments that can enslave can also protect, if guided by conscience and restraint. Debt cannot be erased through illusion; it can only be managed through discipline and honest negotiation among nations. The imbalance tolerated for decades must now be addressed collectively. The crisis carries within it the possibility of renewal, the chance to build a monetary framework that belongs to no single state but to humanity itself. Such reform would require the powerful to surrender part of what they have taken. No one should profit twice: first through exploitation and then through absolution.
More than reform, the world requires moral clarity. Survival depends on the courage to seek what is best for all and to prevent the worst designs of the few. Responsibility means more than restraint; it demands intervention, transparency, and fairness. Democracies must recover their discipline. Technology, money, and power must again serve the common good. Societies must relearn how to negotiate before they arm, to regulate before they exploit, to cooperate before they collapse. Protecting others from themselves is not arrogance; it is solidarity.
Progress without conscience is self-destruction. When nations pursue what benefits them while knowing it harms everyone else, they erode the foundation of civilization. Peace endures only when justice is shared when no one’s survival depends on another’s ruin. Humanity’s task is to act before convenience becomes captivity, to build an order that is fair, transparent, and restrained. If nations remember that freedom is a responsibility rather than a privilege, they may recover not only stability but dignity.
The future will not be saved by one country or one leader. It will depend on collective discipline, on the choice of integrity over illusion, and on the shared courage to restrain power before it consumes itself. History suggests that renewal often comes when empires appear exhausted. America has reinvented itself before; it can do so again. Across the world, voices of dissent and cracks in autocracies signal a turning of the tide. The age of men who mistake power for wisdom is ending. What replaces it will depend on those who still believe that freedom is a collective task and that conscience, once awakened, does not fall silent.
Epilogue - Reflections on What Could Still Be Learned
The story of this speculative upheaval concludes not with collapse but with the recognition of choice. History rarely ends; it pauses and offers its warnings to those still willing to listen.
The forces examined here, executive money, privatized sovereignty, and the erosion of public trust, are not the products of fate. They are human constructions, designed and maintained through decisions that could also be reversed.
For Europe, the central lesson is strategic. Regulation alone cannot substitute for the creation of genuine infrastructure. If the continent seeks to preserve its autonomy, it must build not only legal frameworks but also the technological and institutional foundations that make those frameworks effective. A truly public digital euro, transparent, auditable, and interoperable across borders, could restore confidence in institutions rather than in individuals. Whether this vision can be realized depends on the willingness of political actors to align their courage with the moral vocabulary that Europe so fluently employs.
For the United States, the lesson is constitutional. The strength of a republic lies not primarily in its ability to innovate but in its capacity for self-restraint. When governance and enterprise become indistinguishable, when every crisis is transformed into an opportunity for profit, democracy begins to operate as a financial instrument rather than a civic ideal. Reversing this trend requires more than electoral cycles; it demands the renewal of civic imagination and the recognition that freedom is not a personal commodity but a shared responsibility.
For all democracies, the underlying warning is universal. Technology is never neutral. It reflects the assumptions of its creators and the ambitions of its owners. If the architecture of money evolves into an architecture of control, then the defense of liberty must begin not only in parliaments but also in code, in institutional oversight, and in the education of citizens who understand both technology and governance.
The upheaval we face is therefore not solely political or financial. It is moral in nature. It challenges societies accustomed to convenience to determine whether they can still choose conscience, and whether progress measured in efficiency can coexist with progress measured in dignity.
The future is not predetermined by algorithms or administrations. It will emerge from the balance that societies strike between innovation and restraint, between the accelerating logic of technology and the slower, deliberative patience of law.
If hope remains after the upheaval, it lies in rediscovering a form of discipline rooted in democratic purpose, the quiet strength of societies that remember why they were built. The upheaval is not only digital; it is civilizational. Its outcome will depend on whether we can rebuild trust more quickly than we automate it.